Doug Ford’s Winning Bet: How Ontario’s EV Strategy Paid Off Big

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Ontario has made a remarkable leap in the electric vehicle (EV) sector, and it all boils down to a bold strategy championed by Premier Doug Ford. Over the past four years, the province has attracted nearly C$44 billion in investments for EVs and battery manufacturing, transforming its economic landscape. In stark contrast, the entire United States, with a population of 400 million, has drawn US$123 billion since President Joe Biden took office.

Vic Fedeli, Ontario’s Minister of Economic Development, Job Creation, and Trade, has been at the forefront of this success. “We went from zero to almost $50 billion in four years,” he proudly states. It’s a transformation that has not gone unnoticed, especially in Washington, where the figures have raised eyebrows.

Ontario: The New EV Powerhouse

Global Supply Chain Leader

According to Bloomberg, Canada has emerged as the number one global supplier in the EV sector, overtaking even China. Fedeli clarifies that when Bloomberg mentions Canada, they’re predominantly referring to Ontario. This is a crucial point, as it underscores the province’s significance in the evolving EV market.

A Turnaround in the Auto Industry

In early 2019, global automakers were projected to invest US$300 billion in EV technology over the next decade. However, Ontario was not initially in the mix for these investments. Fedeli recalls, “Just a couple of years before that, we lost a lot of auto manufacturing in Ontario.” The stakes were high, and the need for a robust automotive industry was apparent.

Proactive Government Strategies

To revive the auto industry, the Ford government took aggressive steps to lower business costs. These included:

  • Halving workers’ compensation rates
  • Accelerating the write-off of new equipment costs
  • Freezing tax rates
  • Reducing electricity rates for commercial and industrial customers

This comprehensive approach resulted in an annual $8 billion reduction in government revenue, yet it attracted significant investments, proving that lower taxes can indeed create more revenue.

The Role of Incentives in Attracting Investment

Some may question the extent of subsidies given to auto manufacturers. Fedeli acknowledges that while incentives played a role, they were essential to compete with the Biden administration’s Inflation Reduction Act (IRA).

For example, the recent $15 billion investment from Honda in Ontario’s EV supply chain came without any IRA incentives. “Honda came here, not for the money,” Fedeli asserts. “They came here because this is the right place for them to build their battery and cars.”

Building an End-to-End Ecosystem

Ontario’s strategy has led to the development of a massive ecosystem around the EV sector:

  • Mining: Sourcing essential minerals
  • Processing: Transforming raw materials into usable components
  • Manufacturing: Producing batteries and EVs

This interconnected approach positions Ontario as a leader in the EV market, capable of supporting the entire supply chain.

Why Ontario Stands Out for Investors

So, why should investors choose Ontario for EV manufacturing over American states? Fedeli lists several compelling reasons:

  • Canadian Dollar Advantage: A more favourable exchange rate for exporters.
  • Healthcare System: Companies benefit as employee health care is covered by taxes, saving them millions.
  • Abundant Minerals: Ontario has every mineral required for lithium-ion battery production.
  • Green Electricity: The province offers sustainable energy solutions.
  • STEM Graduates: Annually, Ontario produces around 70,000 STEM graduates to fuel innovation.

Challenges Ahead

Despite the promising outlook, questions remain about whether Ontario can sustain such a massive EV ecosystem. Concerns include:

  • Energy Requirements: Can Ontario meet the energy demands of an expanded EV infrastructure?
  • Indigenous Support: Will First Nations in northern Ontario endorse the mining operations necessary for lithium-ion batteries?
  • Consumer Transition: Is the EV infrastructure resilient enough to adapt to shifts in consumer behaviour?

Minister Fedeli remains optimistic, addressing these concerns with confidence.

Conclusion: A Vision for the Future

As I reflect on Ontario’s remarkable turnaround, it’s clear that Doug Ford’s bold bets on the EV sector are paying off. With an impressive rise from zero to almost $50 billion in investments, Ontario has carved out its place as a global leader in the EV supply chain.

The province’s proactive measures and focus on creating a supportive ecosystem illustrate the potential of strategic government intervention. As we look to the future, I genuinely hope this momentum continues—not just because I have roots in Ontario, but because such forward-thinking approaches are rare in today’s political landscape.

If the past is any indication, Ontario is well on its way to becoming a key player in the electric vehicle revolution.


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